Potential Block on ‘Revenge Tax’ in GOP’s Megabill Sparks Uncertainty

The Senate’s parliamentarian, Elizabeth MacDonough, is facing a pivotal decision that could alter the trajectory of the Republicans’ megabill. The provision, known as the ‘revenge tax,’ is designed to target foreign companies that impose discriminatory taxes on U.S. firms, with a potential 20 percent levy. However, there are significant concerns that this provision may violate the chamber’s internal rules governing reconciliation measures, which are designed to bypass Democratic filibusters. If MacDonough determines that the measure violates these rules, it could be deemed outside the Senate’s jurisdiction, potentially forcing lawmakers to amend their plans or remove the provision altogether.

Republicans are particularly concerned that the provision might be seen as overriding tax treaties the U.S. has with other nations. If that is the case, the matter could be referred to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, which was not included in the reconciliation plans. This would complicate the legislative process, as lawmakers would need to redraft their plans or drop the provision, leading to a potential budget hole. Rep. Kevin Hern (R-Okla.), a member of the House Ways and Means Committee, has stated that the outcome remains uncertain, emphasizing the need to wait for MacDonough’s decision.

The issue is currently being discussed behind closed doors as lawmakers prepare to revise a sprawling tax package approved by the House last month. Republicans aim to push this package into law before the July 4 recess. In the Senate, Republicans have directed nine other committees to produce components of their reconciliation plan, with much of the focus on the tax-writing Finance Committee. The ‘revenge tax’ is intended to counter efforts by other countries to impose special taxes on American internet giants, which have long been accused of evading tax authorities abroad.

However, some tax experts have raised concerns about the provision’s alignment with reconciliation rules. They argue that the measure may not be a sincere effort to raise revenue but rather a negotiating tool in international tax discussions. This could further complicate the legislative process, as the provision might be interpreted as violating reconciliation guidelines. The outcome of this debate could have significant implications for the Republicans’ ability to pass their tax plan and the broader implications for U.S.-foreign tax negotiations.