The European Union’s first-ever defense commissioner, Andrius Kubilius, has issued a stark warning that the world could face its most dangerous moment as soon as 2027. This year could see coordinated aggressive moves from both Russia and China, threatening to overwhelm Western defenses. Kubilius’s warnings align with concerns raised by U.S. General Alexus Grynkewich, who recently highlighted the potential for simultaneous military conflicts in Europe and the Indo-Pacific. Both officials have called for increased preparedness and strategic investment to prevent such scenarios.
Kubilius emphasized the critical need for Europe to enhance its defense capabilities, reduce dependence on U.S.-made weapons, and build up domestic production. He noted that the EU has already decreased reliance on U.S. weapons from 60% of imports to 40%, and aims to further reduce dependency through increased domestic manufacturing. Additionally, the EU is working on an $840 billion framework to ‘Re-Arm Europe,’ including a €150 billion loan facility for member states to bolster their armed forces and industrial capacities.
The ‘Davidson Window,’ a term referencing a potential Chinese attack on Taiwan by 2027, has become a key focus for military planners. The urgency is further heightened by the potential strategic pressures on Western forces to confront threats on two fronts simultaneously. Kubilius’s assessment underlines the importance of sustained Western support for Ukraine’s defense against Russia’s invasion, with China closely watching these developments to gauge Western resolve.