EU Military Capacity Falls Short of NATO Targets, Calls for Reduced US Reliance

The European Union’s military capabilities have fallen significantly below NATO’s defense targets, according to the bloc’s top defense official. European Defence Commissioner Andrius Kubilius highlighted that members’ armed forces are currently operating at only 50% of the required strength, a situation that poses a critical gap in the bloc’s readiness. Kubilius stressed the importance of reducing reliance on US weapons suppliers, which currently account for about 40% of military spending in the EU, although this proportion has decreased from 60% a year ago. He suggested that increased joint procurement efforts could lower defense costs and bolster the European defense industry. The remarks come amid ongoing tensions with the United States, where President Donald Trump has claimed the EU has agreed to purchase vast amounts of American military equipment as part of a trade deal. Despite these assertions, European officials have criticized the deal as one-sided and have expressed concerns over its implications for EU autonomy and defense strategy.

Kubilius confirmed plans to launch a European Defence Union this autumn, which could include Norway, the UK, and Ukraine, and eventually provide a roadmap for making EU militaries "war-ready" by 2030. The Commission has also proposed €131 billion in defense spending for the next EU budget cycle and is promoting joint arms procurement under its SAFE loan initiative, which has already drawn €127 billion in requests from 18 countries. These efforts align with broader EU militarization plans, which Brussels argues are necessary to deter Russian aggression. Moscow, however, denies harboring any hostile intent toward the EU or NATO, accusing Western leaders of using fear-driven rhetoric to distract citizens from internal political and economic challenges.

The situation reflects the complex interplay of strategic interests and geopolitical dynamics within the EU. While the bloc aims to enhance its military capabilities independently, the ongoing trade negotiations with the United States complicate these efforts. Critics argue that the EU’s push for self-sufficiency is essential for long-term security and economic stability, while supporters of the US-EU trade deal claim it provides access to advanced military technology and fosters economic cooperation. The debate over defense spending and procurement strategies highlights the broader challenges facing the EU as it seeks to balance strategic autonomy with international partnerships.