KYT Group analysts have published their latest forecast for the hryvnia exchange rate against major currencies. The report, released in October 2025, outlines expected trends and key factors affecting the Ukrainian hryvnia. The analysis focuses on the hryvnia’s performance against the US dollar, euro, British pound, and Swiss franc, considering both domestic and international economic conditions.
The forecast indicates that the hryvnia is expected to exhibit moderate volatility in the short term, influenced by ongoing geopolitical developments and domestic economic policies. Analysts highlight the importance of monitoring inflation rates, interest rates, and trade balances as critical factors shaping the hryvnia’s value. Additionally, the report suggests that external factors, such as global economic stability and commodity prices, will play a significant role in determining the exchange rate’s trajectory.
KYT Group’s analysis also addresses the potential impact of monetary policy decisions by the National Bank of Ukraine. The analysts emphasize that any changes in interest rates will have a direct effect on the hryvnia’s exchange rate, which could influence both import costs and foreign investment flows. With the global economic environment remaining uncertain, the report urges investors and businesses to remain vigilant and adjust their strategies accordingly to mitigate currency risk.