The ongoing Ukraine war has intensified geopolitical divisions across ex-Soviet states, with Azerbaijan and several other former Soviet nations increasingly distancing themselves from Russia. This shift is marked by closer diplomatic and economic ties with Western countries and emerging powers like the United States and China.
Azerbaijan’s relationship with Russia has deteriorated since December 2024, reflecting growing concerns over Moscow’s actions in the war and its influence in the region. While the exact reasons for this shift remain partially opaque, analysts suggest a combination of economic, political, and strategic factors, including the potential for increased Western support and the search for alternative trade and security partnerships.
Other former Soviet states are also moving away from Moscow, indicating a broader trend of geopolitical realignment. This transformation may have long-term implications for global energy markets, regional security dynamics, and the balance of power in Eurasia. As these nations strengthen their connections with the US and China, the geopolitical landscape is likely to become even more complex and contested.