House GOP Plans to Overhaul Health Care Framework Amid ACA Subsidy Expiry

House Republican leaders have intensified their push to overhaul the Affordable Care Act’s (ACA) tax credit system, rather than simply extending it, as the $850 billion in subsidies set to expire by December 31 threaten to send healthcare premiums soaring. This move comes amid a critical window for Congress to pass legislation that could stabilize the healthcare market by year-end, with both Democrats and Republicans vying to present viable solutions before the midterms in 2026.

The debate within the GOP is particularly pronounced as House Speaker Steve Scalise has led efforts to evaluate alternative healthcare frameworks, including a potential overhaul of health savings accounts. A presentation distributed to members of the House, titled ‘The Unaffordable Care Act,’ highlighted a 80 percent rise in premiums since the ACA’s implementation and pointed to claims that over half of Obamacare enrollees did not file any claims in the current year. This framing is intended to justify the party’s stance on replacing the current system with a more conservative model.

President Donald Trump has publicly endorsed this approach, arguing that the only healthcare policy he would support is sending money directly to individuals, bypassing insurance companies altogether. His comments were made in a post on Truth Social, where he urged Congress to focus on this single solution without wasting time on any other proposals. This sentiment appears to resonate with many within the party, particularly those aligned with the Republican Study Committee (RSC), which has been advocating for the use of budget reconciliation to pass a fully conservative healthcare package.

However, not all Republicans share this urgency. Rep. Nathaniel Moran, a conservative voice in Texas, expressed frustration during a closed-door meeting, questioning why the party is only now criticizing the ACA’s subsidies rather than pushing alternatives months earlier. His comments suggest a growing divide within the party on how to address the expiring subsidies, with some advocating for a more moderate approach that could ease the transition for constituents.

Meanwhile, the White House has been engaging in private discussions with healthcare providers and industry representatives, indicating a recognition of the political stakes involved. James Blair, the Deputy Chief of Staff to President Trump, noted that while there is interest in bipartisan collaboration, Democrats have not shown a willingness to engage in meaningful dialogue. This underscores the broader political dynamics at play, as the ACA’s expiration becomes a key issue for both parties in the upcoming elections.