Germany Warns Russia Could Attack NATO by 2029 Amid Rising Intelligence Threat Assessments

German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul has issued a stark warning, citing intelligence suggesting Russia might attack NATO by 2029. This follows a series of warnings from senior German officials and aligns with concerns raised by other NATO members and military analysts about increasing Russian aggression. The assessment is based on Moscow’s military buildup and an economic shift toward war, with implications for global security.

Wadephul’s remarks emphasize the urgency of collective action against potential Russian aggression. His statement was corroborated by retired Gen. Philip Breedlove, a former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe, who underscored the gravity of the situation. Breedlove noted that many observers have overlooked Russia’s early signals before its full-scale invasion of Ukraine. He pointed out that Russia issued two documents early in the war, which are considered as an ultimatum. The absence of a response from NATO members led to the invasion, a situation that is now being repeated against NATO’s Eastern flank, according to the retired general.

Additionally, Germany’s Defense Minister Boris Pistorius echoed these concerns, suggesting that a war between Russia and NATO could begin as early as 2028. These assessments are supported by top military commanders, including Lt. Gen. Alexander Sollfrank, who indicated that Russia could launch an attack on NATO territory at any time. The military leadership further suggests that a larger-scale assault could become possible by 2029 if rearmament efforts continue.

Amid these security concerns, the United States is pushing forward with a proposed Russia-Ukraine peace deal. President Donald Trump has stated that he will not meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin or Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy until the agreement is complete or in its final stage. Trump’s comments come as the peace talks continue despite a major overnight Russian strike on Kyiv that killed at least seven people and damaged power infrastructure.